Continental Airlines
is a major US air carrier, serving about 130 domestic
and around 100 international destinations worldwide.
Continental Airlines has a wholly owned subsidiary
named Continental Micronesia (CMI). It also owns
a regional affiliate called Express Jet, which
operates under the Continental Express name. Continental
Airlines serves European, Central American, South
American and Pacific Rim cities. The company is
headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Continental recorded total revenues of $8,870
million for 2003, a 5.6% increase from 2002. Passenger
revenues rose by 3.5% during 2003 due to increased
regional traffic along with capacity enhancement
at Express Jet. This rise in passenger revenues
led to the increase in overall revenues.
Continental Airlines is primarily involved in
transporting passengers, cargo and mail. Continental
Airlines operates through two major divisions
namely domestic operations and international operations.
Its domestic route system is operated through
its hubs at Newark International Airport, George
Bush Intercontinental Airport in Houston and Hopkins
International Airport in Cleveland. Continental
is the leading US airline servicing Central America,
including Mexico.
Continental Airlines in conjunction with Express
Jet operates regional jets and turboprop aircraft
under the name Continental Express.
CMI is a US-certified air carrier transporting
passengers, cargo and mail in the western Pacific.
Through its hub operations on the island of Guam,
it serves Pacific Rim destinations including Japanese
cities, Australia and Indonesia.
Continental has entered into, and continues to
develop, alliances with domestic carriers. The
company has a long-term global alliance with Northwest
Airlines wherein each carrier has to place its
code on a large number of the flights of the other.
The agreement also includes joint marketing activities
such as reciprocity of frequent flyer programs
and lounge access. Continental has also entered
into agreements to code-share with certain Northwest
Airlines regional affiliates.
Continental's other domestic code-sharing alliance
partners include Gulf stream International Airlines,
Hawaiian Airlines, Alaska Airlines, Horizon Airlines
Sky West Airlines and CommutAir. Other companies
with which Continental has international code-sharing
agreements include Mexico co, Maersk Air, Air
Europa, British European flybe, KLM Royal Dutch
Airlines, Emirates, Gulf stream International
Airlines, EVA Air, Virgin Atlantic Airways. Continental
also has an alliance with SNCF and owns 49% of
the common equity of Copa Airlines.
With their shark noses and sleek aerodynamics,
the 50-seat Embraer jets thatContinental Express
has been flying into Newark International Airport
for the last three years cut a smart silhouette.
Passengers love the insides, too. Wide seats and
quiet cabins make the Embraers a far cry from
the turboprop regional planes that have earned
the nickname "weed-beaters."
They're also a gold mine for the airlines. The
regional carrier Continental Express will contribute
$840 million in revenue to parent Continental
Airlines Inc., up 68 percent from $500 million
in 1997.
"They're an important asset for us to handle
a very aggressive business plan," said Jim
Ream, president of Continental Express.
The planes also have become a menace in the delayed-filled
skies over Newark, Kennedy and LaGuardia airports,
according to airport executives and air traffic
controllers, who are at odds with carriers pushing
regional jets as a way to develop new markets.
Critics say the proliferation of regional jets
such as the Embraer and Delta's Bombardier is
turning the nation's busiest airspace into an
airborne parking lot. The situation is made worse
because regional jets fly at a higher altitude
than turboprops, which means they vie for the
same airways with 747s and 737s streaming into
the airports.
In response, Continental Airlines, as well as
units of American, Delta and US Airways, have
announced plans to fill the void with their most
proven and profitable tool: the regional jet.
At LaGuardia, alone, the carriers plan to bring
in as many as 608 additional daily flights. The
Flushing, N.Y., airport already averages 981 flights.
Even so, DeCota acknowledged the regional jet
has transformed air travel as dramatically as
federal de-regulation of the airline industry
did after 1978.
What began in 1993 as a way for smaller airlines
to open markets with aircraft having 50 seats
or less is now a key growth component at the nation's
largest carriers.
"In a lot of ways, it's like the automobile;
it opens up places that you couldn't travel before."
The beauty of the regional jet is it can fly
profitably to cities that don't yet have the passenger
counts to justify deploying bigger jets outfitted
with 120 seats or more. On those aircraft, about
65 percent or more of the seats need to be filled
for an airline to break even, compared to 45 or
less on a regional jet.
But, at Newark, JFK and LaGuardia, which already
handle 1.2 million flights a year, the solution
to congestion is not more planes with fewer seats,
DeCota said.
The problem is particularly acute at Newark. Not
only are the regional jets crowding the same airspace
as the bigger jets, but they are also landing
and taking off on the same runways. As a result,
the number of flights using the east-west reliever
runway has plummeted as pilots on the smaller
jets request to use the longer, north-south strips
used by the largest aircraft.
That adds to Newark's notorious crowding. With
the 9,980- and 11,000-foot runways paralleling
the New Jersey Turnpike inundated with bigger
jets, one solution for the last several years
has been to confine the turboprops and smaller
jets to east-west Runway 11-29. But the regional
jet pilots have been balking.
Pilots often feel more comfortable with longer
runways, even if they don't necessarily need them.
According to FAA records, operations on the runway
have declined as regional jet flights have climbed
to 7 percent of all airport operations since 1997,
when they accounted for just 2 percent of all
flights.
During that time, use of the 6,800-foot runway
fell 65 percent to 21,841 flights, or 5 percent
of all airport landings and take-offs. Somebody's
got to force them back, DeCota said.
There could be some help when the FAA implements
a new map of the area's air space in 2004. The
new flight patterns will make provisions for the
regional jets now crowding the mix, Hatfield said.
Even Delta Air Lines is skeptical, although it
ordered 94 regional jets from Bombardier Inc.
for $2 billion and announced plans to serve 22
additional cities from LaGuardia through its Delta
Connection Inc. partners, Atlantic Southeast Airlines
and Comair.
"They can't let the operational integrity
of the most important airspace in the country
fall to pieces," said Doug Blissit, vice
president of network analysis for the nation's
third-largest airline. "At some point there
will have to be some mechanism to limit what more
can go in because obviously there's a limit to
what the airspace can do," he said.
Continental, which also announced plans to fly
regional jets to 22 East Coast cities from LaGuardia,
said there's no reason to fear more congestion.
The flights it adds in Flushing will be carved
from Newark, where Continental's 720 daily flights
make it the airport's busiest carrier, said Greg
Brenneman, president of chief operating officer.
The 200 daily trips now being made in and out
of Newark by Continental Express will drop to
150 in five years as the additional flights are
added at LaGuardia, he said.
Ultimately, it will be a wash, and it doesn't
want to increase the number of departures at Newark.
The nation's No. 5 airline has long said it only
makes sense to exploit Newark's limited resources
with aircraft that can carry the fullest loads.
Regional jets, though, can be used to develop
certain markets to the point where they can be
taken over by larger jets, especially since the
range of an Embraer is 800 miles, more than double
that of a turboprop.
Since the first Embraers were introduced in 1997,
Continental Express has seen its passenger counts
increase 37 percent to almost 6.7 million last
year
"It brings communities an attractive service
to a major hub that previously had been unavailable,"
said Jim Ream, president of Continental Express.
"There are an awful lot of small counties
out there clamoring for it.
"LaGuardia is an opportunity to grow our
presence in New York and we're going to use the
RJ as leverage."
Continental is making an expensive bet on the
future of regional jets. The airline expects to
fly 230 Embraers by 2003, more than triple the
73 it has now.
In May, as he helped open a $25 million center
to train regional jet pilots and flight crews,
Gordon Bethune, Continental's chairman and chief
executive officer, called the 32,000 square-foot-facility
the envy of competitors.
"Continental Express deserves that because
they are responsible for so much of our profitability,"
he said. Yet, Ream acknowledged the transition
has not been without its growing pains.
Capt. Tom Tremblay, the Continental Express liaison
for the Independent Association of Continental
Pilots, said the training center was long overdue
and showed how late management came to understand
ways in which the regional jets could help the
airline grow.
"Originally, their intention was just to
replace the turbos," he said. "It took
a while for them to realize how effective they
could be supplementing the main line's weaker
routes. Now, the amount of flying we do even surpasses
the work load of the major airlines."
As for compounding Newark's congestion, Continental
said it is already taking preventive steps. For
one thing, the airline is urging pilots to use
the shorter runway.
Embraers typically need just 6,000 feet, so they
could safely use Runway 11-29 at Newark.
The results of the push by Continental Express
are starting to pay off. Embraers used the runway
for 2.5 percent of take-offs during the first
quarter, compared with 2 percent of all of last
year, it said. Use on arrivals is even better,
up to 6 percent from 2.4 percent.
Daniel D'Agostino, president of the Newark local
of the National Air Traffic Controllers Association,
said the tower has noticed more regional jets
using the reliever runway. However, he said the
lengthening of a parallel runway nearby has introduced
new complications because it now intersects with
Runway 11-29. To prevent accidents, controllers
and pilots need to observe rules that can result
in delays.
As that gets worked out, Continental Express
is using technology to address potential congestion.
Its newest Embraers will also come with more powerful
engines that can get the plane airborne more quickly.
New jets also will be equipped with flight management
systems permitting pilots to chart routes outside
those used by bigger jets.
Factors that May Affect Future Results
The actual results of the Company’s operations
will vary, and may vary materially, from those
currently anticipated, estimated, projected or
expected by the Company. Among the key factors
that may have a direct bearing on the Company’s
operating results and financial condition are
those set forth in the following paragraphs:
The Company will be materially affected by the
uncertainty of the airline industry:
The airline industry has experienced tremendous
challenges in recent years and will likely remain
volatile for the foreseeable future. Among other
factors, the events associated with September
11, 2001, the slowing U.S. economy throughout
2002 and 2003 and increased hostilities in Iraq,
the Middle East or other regions could significantly
affect the U.S. airline industry. These events
have resulted in changed government regulation,
declines and shifts in passenger demand, increased
insurance costs and tightened credit markets,
all of which have affected, and will continue
to affect, the operations and financial condition
of participants in the industry including the
Company, major carriers (including the Company’s
major partners), competitors and aircraft manufacturers.
These industry developments raise substantial
risks and uncertainties which will affect the
Company, major carriers (including the Company’s
major partners), competitors and aircraft manufacturers
in ways that the Company is not currently able
to predict.
The Company has been, and will continue to be,
significantly impacted by the troubled financial
condition of its major partners:
In December 2002, United filed for reorganization
under Chapter 11 of the United States Bankruptcy
Code (the “Bankruptcy Code”). During
September 2003, the Company entered into the United
Express Agreement, which had been previously approved
on August 29, 2003 by the U.S. Bankruptcy Court.
The United Express Agreement received all necessary
approvals from the creditors’ committee
operating on behalf of United under bankruptcy
protection and United’s pilot union. Notwithstanding
the execution of the United Express Agreement,
United’s bankruptcy filing could still lead
to many other unforeseen expenses, risks and uncertainties.
Although United has reported that it intends to
emerge from its ongoing Chapter 11 bankruptcy
on or before June 30, 2005, it could still file
for liquidation under Chapter 7 of the Bankruptcy
Code, or liquidate some or all of its assets through
one or more transactions with third parties. Such
events, individually or singly, could jeopardize
the Company’s United Express operations,
leave the Company unable to efficiently utilize
the additional aircraft which the Company is currently
obligated to purchase, or result in other outcomes
which could have a material adverse effect on
the operations, activities or financial condition
of the Company.
In recent months, Delta has indicated the possibility
of seeking protection under the Bankruptcy Code
unless they achieve a more competitive cost structure,
regain profitability and obtain further access
to capital markets on acceptable terms. If Delta
were to file for protection under the Bankruptcy
Code, the Company’s Delta Connection operations
could be jeopardized. Such an event could leave
the Company unable to utilize existing aircraft
or result in other outcomes which could have a
material adverse effect on the operations, activities
or financial condition of the Company.
The Company’s operations and financial
condition are dependent upon the terms of its
relationships with its major partners:
Substantially all of the Company’s revenues
are derived from flight operations conducted under
its agreements with Delta, United and Continental.
Any material change in the Company’s contractual
relationships with its major partners would impact
the Company’s operations and financial condition.
The Company’s major partners currently face
significant economic, operational, financial and
competitive challenges. United’s bankruptcy
filing and associated reorganization effort represents
only a portion of those challenges. As the Company’s
major partners struggle to address such challenges,
they have required, and will likely continue to
require, the Company’s participation in
efforts to reduce costs and improve the financial
position of the Company’s partners. In particular,
these challenges could translate into lower departure
rates on the contract flying portion of the Company’s
business. Management believes these developments
will impact many aspects of the Company’s
operations and financial performance. In particular,
the Company anticipates that its financial performance,
including its margins, will be less predictable
than in prior periods and will be negatively impacted
as the industry experiences significant restructuring.
In addition, the Company’s contract flying
arrangements with Delta and United contain termination
provisions that could adversely impact the Company’s
revenues. The Company’s rights under the
United Express Agreement expire incrementally
between 2012 and 2016; however, United can terminate
the agreement without notice if the Company does
not perform at certain levels. The Company’s
current Delta Connection agreement expires in
2008; however, Delta can terminate the agreement
without cause upon 180 days notice. The agreement
with Continental can be terminated by either party
upon 90 days notice. Maintenance costs will likely
increase as the age of the Company’s regional
jet fleet increases: Because the average age of
Sky West’s CRJ200s is approximately 2.6
years, Sky West’s aircraft require less
maintenance now than they will in the future.
The Company has incurred relatively low maintenance
expenses on its regional jet fleet because most
of the parts on Sky West’s regional jet
aircraft are under multi-year warranties and a
limited number of heavy airframe checks and engine
overhauls have occurred. The Company’s maintenance
costs will increase significantly, both on an
absolute basis and as a percentage of its operating
expenses, as Sky West’s fleet ages and these
warranties expire.
The Company has a significant amount of contractual
obligations:
As of September 30, 2004, the Company had $507.7
million in total long-term debt obligations. Substantially
all of this long-term debt was incurred in connection
with the acquisition of EMB120 and CRJ200 aircraft.
The Company also has significant long-term lease
obligations primarily relating to its aircraft
fleet. These leases are classified as operating
leases and therefore are not reflected as liabilities
in the Company’s condensed consolidated
balance sheets. At September 30, 2004, the Company
had 151 aircraft under lease with remaining terms
ranging from one to 16 years. Future minimum lease
payments due under all long-term operating leases
were approximately $1.99 billion at September
30, 2004. At a 7% discount factor, the present
value of these lease obligations was equal to
approximately $1.26 billion at September 30, 2004.
As of September 30, 2004, the Company had commitments
of approximately $800 million to purchase 25 CRJ700
aircraft and related flight equipment. The Company
currently anticipates that it will take delivery
of these aircraft from October 2004 through May
2005. Additionally, during the quarter ended March
31, 2004, Delta awarded to the Company seven additional
CRJ200s that are scheduled for delivery during
the first half of 2005. The Company anticipates
subleasing these seven aircraft from Delta. The
Company’s high level of fixed obligations
could impact its ability to obtain additional
financing to support additional expansion plans
or divert cash flows from operations and expansion
plans to service the fixed obligations.
The Company’s reliance on only three aircraft
types exposes the Company to a number of potentially
significant risks:
As of September 30, 2004 the Company had a fleet
of 74 EMB120s, 121 CRJ200s and seven CRJ700s.
During the quarter ended September 30, 2004, 78.9%
of the Company’s ASMs were flown using CRJ200s,
14.1% of the Company’s ASMs were flown using
EMB120s and 7.0% of the Company’s ASMs were
flown using CRJ700s. Additionally, as of September
30, 2004, the Company had agreements to acquire
25 CRJ700s and had obtained options to acquire
another 80 CRJ700s that can be delivered in either
70 or 90 seat configurations. The Company presently
anticipates that delivery dates for the 80 options
on either 70 or 90 seat CRJ700s could start in
June 2005 and continue through September 2008;
however, actual delivery dates remain subject
to final determination as agreed upon by the Company
and its major partners. The Company is subject
to numerous risks related to its current fleet
and the ability to operate the additional aircraft
that could materially or adversely affect its
operations and financial condition, including:
• The Company’s ability to obtain
necessary financing to fulfill the Company’s
contractual obligations related to the acquisition
of aircraft;
• The breach by Bombardier, Inc. of the
Company’s firm order contracts for the delivery
of CRJ700s and CRJ200s or any change in the delivery
schedule of such CRJ700s;
• The interruption of fleet service as a
result of unscheduled or unanticipated maintenance
requirements for such aircraft;
• The issuance of FAA directives restricting
or prohibiting the use of EMB120s, CRJ200s or
CRJ700s; or,
• The adverse public perception of an aircraft
type as a result of an accident or other adverse
publicity.
Unionization of the Company’s employees
could impact the Company’s business:
The employees of the Company are not currently
represented by any union. Management is aware
that collective bargaining group organization
efforts among its employees occur from time to
time and expects that such efforts will continue
in the future. If unionizing efforts are successful,
the Company may be subjected to risks of work
interruption or stoppage and/or incur additional
administrative expenses associated with union
representation. Management recognizes that such
efforts will likely continue in the future and
may ultimately result in some or all of the Company’s
employees being represented by a union.
The Company is subject to significant governmental
regulation:
All interstate air carriers, including Sky West,
are subject to regulation by the DOT, the FAA
and other governmental agencies. Regulations promulgated
by the DOT primarily relate to economic aspects
of air service. The FAA requires operating, air
worthiness and other certificates; approval of
personnel who may engage in flight, maintenance
or operation activities; record keeping procedures
in accordance with FAA requirements; and FAA approval
of flight training and retraining programs. The
Company cannot predict whether it will be able
to comply with all present and future laws, rules,
regulations and certification requirements or
that the cost of continued compliance will not
have a material adverse effect on operations